GPUaaS Business Outlook: $1.51 to $8.11 EPS Potential

What are the range of outcomes for the GPUaaS business?We see substantial variance in range of outcomes. In our base case GPUaaS model, we estimate $1.51 of FY30 EPS attributable to GPUaaS (scaling to ~26% gross margins), far below the $8.11 EPS potential in our more bullish 'Oracle Targets' scenario (scaling to ~41% gross margins). Between these two scenarios, the key drivers of variance are largely attributable to diverging views of monetization potential on incremental GPUaaS capacity, and associated investment and financing needs. To be clear, we think it is highly unlikely that Oracle would be pursuing this build out (and committing to such substantial lease agreements) for <$2.00 of FY30 GPUaaS EPS – though believe this operating model framework helps to unpack the potential earnings volatility should execution underwhelm. More constructively, our more bullish 'Oracle Targets' scenario in our GPUaaS model implies this business alone could account for ~$180 to ~$205 per share, highlighting substantial upside potential should execution prove out.

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